← Back to picks

Wuhan Three T. vs Qingdao Hainiu Prediction— China - Super League

China - Super League logo China flag China - Super League Regular Season - 10 Wuhan Sports Centre· Wuhan Wednesday, May 6, 2026 11:00
Wuhan Three T. logo Wuhan Three T. PPG 1.50
1-3 MISS
Qingdao Hainiu logo Qingdao Hainiu PPG 0.25
Home· +5.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wuhan Three T. face Qingdao Hainiu in China - Super League on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wuhan Three T. a 48% chance, the draw 26% and Qingdao Hainiu 26%, so Wuhan Three T. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wuhan Three T. and 1.3 for Qingdao Hainiu (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wuhan Three T. are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.25 for Qingdao Hainiu. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.2%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.8%
Odds: 2.20 EV: +5.2%
Draw 26.2%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -6.6%
Away 26.0%
Odds: 2.94 EV: -14.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.77 +5.0%
Over 3.5 33.2% Odds: 2.95 -2.1%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.60 -5.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Wuhan Three T.
1.65
Qingdao Hainiu
1.25

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +5.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Home(+5.2%)

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 23%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -11.2%
Bet Hit 50% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=47.8%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org