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Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Wednesday, May 6, 2026 12:00 
Samtredia PPG 1.40 
Aragvi Dusheti PPG 0.40
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Wednesday, May 6, 2026 12:00 Samtredia PPG 1.402-0 MISS
Aragvi Dusheti PPG 0.40Away· +14.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 47.2% Odds: 1.85 -12.7%
Over 3.5 25.5% Odds: 2.97 -14.6%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.75 -4.5%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 1-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Samtredia 1.38
Aragvi Dusheti 1.18
Model Suggestion
BTTS -4.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 37 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 57%
ROI 50.7%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs P(Home)=41.7%