Merani Martvili vs Shturmi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Regular Season - 11 Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava· Martvili Wednesday, May 6, 2026 12:00

Merani Martvili PPG 2.00

0-0 HIT CS2

Shturmi PPG 1.40

Draw· -0.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Merani Martvili face Shturmi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Merani Martvili a 39% chance, the draw 31% and Shturmi 30%, so Merani Martvili are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Merani Martvili and 0.9 for Shturmi (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Merani Martvili are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Shturmi. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.7%

Odds: 2.00 EV: -22.6%

Draw 31.1%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -0.5%

Away 30.2%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -3.4%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.5% Odds: 2.10 -12.8%

Over 3.5 14.4% Odds: 3.72 -27.9%

BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.85 -10.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Merani Martvili

1.06

Shturmi

0.95

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)