Waterhouse vs Dunbeholden Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Jamaica - Premier League Regular Season - 39 Waterhouse Mini Stadium· Kingston Wednesday, May 6, 2026 20:30

Waterhouse PPG 1.45

4-0 MISS

Dunbeholden PPG 0.95

Away· +36.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Waterhouse face Dunbeholden in Jamaica - Premier League on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Waterhouse a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Dunbeholden 24%, so Waterhouse are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Waterhouse and 0.8 for Dunbeholden (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Waterhouse are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.95 for Dunbeholden. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +36.7%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.0%

Odds: 1.30 EV: -36.3%

Draw 27.3%

Odds: 5.40 EV: +28.4%

Away 23.7%

Odds: 6.80 EV: +36.7%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 1.44 -34.1%

Over 3.5 16.5% Odds: 2.15 -38.7%

BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.70 -18.1%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Waterhouse

1.37

Dunbeholden

0.75

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 37%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.45) > Away POOR (0.95)