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Richards Bay vs Polokwane Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Matchday 27 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 17:30

Richards Bay

PPG 1.62 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDDL

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Polokwane

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-025.1%0-116.7%0-25.5%0-31.2%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.0%1-112.0%1-24.0%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.5%2-14.3%2-21.4%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.6%3-11.0%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.1% 42.6% 2.35 -19.9%

Draw 41.3% 35.0% 2.86 +18.1%

Away win 24.6% 29.4% 3.40 -9.8%

Over 2.5 25.8% 32.3% 3.10 -12.0%

Over 3.5 5.2% 15.4% 6.50 -39.7%

BTTS 41.8% 42.6% 2.35 -1.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 61 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -8.8%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob41.8%

D 41% / xG 0.7-0.7 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 25.1%

#2 1–0 18.0%

#3 0–1 16.7%

#4 1–1 12.0%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Richards Bay0.7

Polokwane0.7

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 5.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RICHARDS BAY · PPG 1.62

POLOKWANE · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.62), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Richards Bay (H) 34.1%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -19.9%

Draw 41.3%

ODDS 2.86 · IMPLIED 35.0% EV +18.1%

Polokwane (A) 24.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Richards Bay face Polokwane in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Richards Bay a 34% chance, the draw 41% and Polokwane 25%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Richards Bay and 0.7 for Polokwane (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Richards Bay are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.38 for Polokwane. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +18.1%. This match finished 0-0.

Richards Bay vs Polokwane Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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