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Sparta Prague B vs Prostejov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 27 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 15:00

Sparta Prague B

PPG 0.77 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Prostejov

PPG 0.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.0% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-114.0%0-29.1%0-33.9%0-4+1.7%1 1-010.1%1-113.0%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-04.7%2-16.1%2-23.9%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.5%3-11.9%3-21.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.4% 50.0% 2.00 -27.1%

Draw 29.5% 31.3% 3.20 -3.4%

Away win 43.1% 28.6% 3.50 +50.8%

Over 2.5 45.8% 51.8% 1.93 -11.6%

Over 3.5 18.6% 30.8% 3.25 -23.7%

BTTS 51.0% 58.8% 1.70 -13.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob51.0%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.3 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 10.8%

#3 0–1 14.0%

#4 0–2 9.1%

#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sparta Prague B0.9

Prostejov1.3

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SPARTA PRAGUE B · PPG 0.77

PROSTEJOV · PPG 0.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.77), Away POOR (0.85)

Win probability 1X2

Sparta Prague B (H) 27.4%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -27.1%

Draw 29.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.4%

Prostejov (A) 43.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +50.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sparta Prague B face Prostejov in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sparta Prague B a 27% chance, the draw 30% and Prostejov 43%, so Prostejov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sparta Prague B and 1.3 for Prostejov (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sparta Prague B are averaging 0.77 points per game versus 0.85 for Prostejov. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +50.8%. This match finished 5-1.

Sparta Prague B vs Prostejov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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