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Flamurtari vs Teuta Durres Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 35 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 14:00

Flamurtari

PPG 1.06 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Teuta Durres

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.3%0-113.2%0-25.4%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.3%1-113.3%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.2%2-16.7%2-22.7%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.7%3-12.2%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% 74.1% 1.35 -48.6%

Draw 35.6% 24.4% 4.10 +46.0%

Away win 26.3% 13.5% 7.40 +56.8%

Over 2.5 35.1% 57.1% 1.75 -38.6%

Over 3.5 11.1% 35.6% 2.81 -41.3%

BTTS 48.2% 54.6% 1.83 -11.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.2%

H 38% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.3%

#2 1–1✓ 13.3%

#3 1–0 16.3%

#4 0–1 13.2%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flamurtari1.0

Teuta Durres0.8

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 11.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FLAMURTARI · PPG 1.06

TEUTA DURRES · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Flamurtari (H) 38.1%

ODDS 1.35 · IMPLIED 74.1% EV -48.6%

Draw 35.6%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +46.0%

Teuta Durres (A) 26.3%

ODDS 7.40 · IMPLIED 13.5% EV +56.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Flamurtari face Teuta Durres in Albania - Superliga on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flamurtari a 38% chance, the draw 36% and Teuta Durres 26%, so Flamurtari are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Flamurtari and 0.8 for Teuta Durres (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flamurtari are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.06 for Teuta Durres. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +56.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Flamurtari vs Teuta Durres Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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