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India - Indian Super League logo India flag India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 12 Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium· New Delhi Wednesday, May 6, 2026 14:00
Punjab logo Punjab PPG 2.00
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Chennaiyin logo Chennaiyin PPG 0.80
Draw· -0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.9%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -12.8%
Draw 25.3%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -0.8%
Away 15.8%
Odds: 6.00 EV: -3.1%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.80 -16.3%
Over 3.5 21.1% Odds: 2.95 -22.7%
BTTS 47.6% Odds: 1.85 -11.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 0-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Punjab
1.80
Chennaiyin
0.55

Model Suggestion

Home -12.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -12.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=58.9%

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