Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Yingbo Prediction— China - Super League

China - Super League Regular Season - 10 Beijing Workers' Stadium· Beijing Wednesday, May 6, 2026 11:35

Beijing Guoan PPG 0.33

3-0 MISS

Dalian Yingbo PPG 1.50

Away· +94.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Beijing Guoan face Dalian Yingbo in China - Super League on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Beijing Guoan a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Dalian Yingbo 40%, so Dalian Yingbo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Beijing Guoan and 1.9 for Dalian Yingbo (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Beijing Guoan are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.50 for Dalian Yingbo. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +94.0%. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.2%

Odds: 1.56 EV: -45.1%

Draw 24.8%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +1.0%

Away 40.0%

Odds: 4.85 EV: +94.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.53 -5.6%

Over 3.5 51.1% Odds: 2.30 +17.5%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.55 -2.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Beijing Guoan

1.78

Dalian Yingbo

1.95

Model SuggestionBTTS -2.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.33)