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C. Budejovice vs Jihlava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 27 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 15:00

C. Budejovice

PPG 1.31 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Jihlava

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.6% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-111.7%0-25.6%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.0%1-113.4%1-26.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.1%2-17.7%2-23.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.1%3-12.9%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.9% 42.9% 2.33 -4.7%

Draw 30.6% 31.3% 3.20 -2.1%

Away win 28.5% 35.7% 2.80 -12.1%

Over 2.5 45.8% 51.3% 1.95 -10.7%

Over 3.5 16.1% 29.9% 3.35 -27.6%

BTTS 50.6% 58.8% 1.70 -14.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob50.6%

H 41% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 12.2%

#3 1–0 14.0%

#4 0–1 11.7%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

C. Budejovice1.1

Jihlava1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.1%

Form & verdict PPG

C. BUDEJOVICE · PPG 1.31

JIHLAVA · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away POOR (0.69)

Win probability 1X2

C. Budejovice (H) 40.9%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV -4.7%

Draw 30.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -2.1%

Jihlava (A) 28.5%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -12.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

C. Budejovice face Jihlava in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives C. Budejovice a 41% chance, the draw 31% and Jihlava 28%, so C. Budejovice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for C. Budejovice and 1.0 for Jihlava (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, C. Budejovice are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 0.69 for Jihlava. This match finished 3-1.

C. Budejovice vs Jihlava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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