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Dinamo Tirana vs Vora Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 35 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 14:00

Dinamo Tirana

PPG 1.59 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Vora

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.4%0-110.5%0-23.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.3%1-112.5%1-24.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.9%2-17.4%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.3%3-13.0%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 25.0% 4.00 +86.0%

Draw 28.5% 29.0% 3.45 -1.0%

Away win 25.0% 57.8% 1.73 -34.1%

Over 2.5 35.1% 55.6% 1.80 -36.8%

Over 3.5 12.1% 34.7% 2.88 -39.1%

BTTS 46.5% 59.9% 1.67 -22.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob46.5%

H 46% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.4%

#2 1–0 18.3%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 2–0 10.9%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Tirana1.2

Vora0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 12.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO TIRANA · PPG 1.59

VORA · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.59) > Away POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Tirana (H) 46.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +86.0%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -1.0%

Vora (A) 25.0%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -34.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Tirana face Vora in Albania - Superliga on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Tirana a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Vora 25%, so Dinamo Tirana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dinamo Tirana and 0.7 for Vora (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Tirana are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 0.94 for Vora. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +86.0%. This match finished 2-2.

Dinamo Tirana vs Vora Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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