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Wydad vs Meknes Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Regular Season - 19 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 18:00

Wydad

PPG 1.75 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Meknes

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.0%0-110.8%0-22.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-022.0%1-111.3%1-22.9%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.5%2-15.9%2-21.5%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.0%3-12.1%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.7%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 73.5% 1.36 -38.3%

Draw 33.2% 25.6% 3.90 +29.5%

Away win 21.3% 11.9% 8.40 +47.3%

Over 2.5 35.1% 50.0% 2.00 -29.8%

Over 3.5 7.3% 29.4% 3.40 -45.1%

BTTS 44.8% 46.5% 2.15 -3.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -14.8%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.8%

H 45% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.0%

#2 1–0 22.0%

#3 1–1 11.3%

#4 2–0✓ 11.5%

#5 0–1 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wydad1.0

Meknes0.5

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 7.3%

Form & verdict PPG

WYDAD · PPG 1.75

MEKNES · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=45.4%

Win probability 1X2

Wydad (H) 45.4%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -38.3%

Draw 33.2%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +29.5%

Meknes (A) 21.3%

ODDS 8.40 · IMPLIED 11.9% EV +47.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wydad face Meknes in Morocco - Botola Pro on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wydad a 45% chance, the draw 33% and Meknes 21%, so Wydad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Wydad and 0.5 for Meknes (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wydad are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.88 for Meknes. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +47.3%. This match finished 2-0.

Wydad vs Meknes Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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