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Maghreb de Fes vs Raja Casablanca Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Morocco - Botola Pro logo Morocco flag Morocco - Botola Pro Regular Season - 19 Wednesday, May 6, 2026 20:00
Maghreb de Fes logo Maghreb de Fes PPG 2.50
0-2 MISS
Raja Casablanca logo Raja Casablanca PPG 1.50
Home· +16.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Maghreb de Fes face Raja Casablanca in Morocco - Botola Pro on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Maghreb de Fes a 37% chance, the draw 40% and Raja Casablanca 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.9 for Maghreb de Fes and 0.5 for Raja Casablanca (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Maghreb de Fes are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.50 for Raja Casablanca. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +16.8%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.5%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +16.8%
Draw 39.9%
Odds: 2.80 EV: +11.7%
Away 23.5%
Odds: 2.33 EV: -27.2%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 25.8% Odds: 2.65 -19.0%
Over 3.5 5.5% Odds: 5.50 -41.9%
BTTS 41.8% Odds: 2.10 -12.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Maghreb de Fes
0.86
Raja Casablanca
0.55

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 40%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -19.0%
Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=36.5%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org