Today / Jamaica - Premier League / Treasure Beach vs Molynes Utd

Treasure Beach vs Molynes Utd Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Regular Season - 39 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 20:30

Treasure Beach

PPG 1.11 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Molynes Utd

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-111.3%0-26.9%0-32.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.7%1-113.1%1-28.0%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.2%2-17.6%2-24.7%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.4%3-12.9%3-21.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% 29.0% 3.45 +24.9%

Draw 28.0% 30.3% 3.30 -4.6%

Away win 35.8% 51.3% 1.95 -30.2%

Over 2.5 46.5% 54.1% 1.85 -14.0%

Over 3.5 21.8% 31.3% 3.20 -18.1%

BTTS 52.3% 59.9% 1.67 -12.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.3%

D 28% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.2%

#3 0–1 11.3%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Treasure Beach1.2

Molynes Utd1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 21.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TREASURE BEACH · PPG 1.11

MOLYNES UTD · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.11), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Treasure Beach (H) 36.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +24.9%

Draw 28.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -4.6%

Molynes Utd (A) 35.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -30.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Treasure Beach face Molynes Utd in Jamaica - Premier League on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Treasure Beach a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Molynes Utd 36%, so Treasure Beach are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Treasure Beach and 1.2 for Molynes Utd (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Treasure Beach are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 1.00 for Molynes Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +24.9%. This match finished 0-2.

Treasure Beach vs Molynes Utd Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Jamaica - Premier League Predictions