Today / Czech-Republic - FNL / Vlasim vs Vikto Zizkov

Vlasim vs Vikto Zizkov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 27 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 16:00

Vlasim

PPG 1.46 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Vikto Zizkov

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-16.3%0-23.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.6%1-111.1%1-25.8%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.4%2-19.8%2-25.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.5%3-15.8%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-13.8%4+-22.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 50.0% 2.00 -1.4%

Draw 25.6% 29.0% 3.45 -7.0%

Away win 25.1% 31.3% 3.20 -11.8%

Over 2.5 53.1% 57.1% 1.75 -7.1%

Over 3.5 31.1% 34.7% 2.88 -10.4%

BTTS 54.6% 62.5% 1.60 -12.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.6%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 0–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vlasim1.8

Vikto Zizkov1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VLASIM · PPG 1.46

VIKTO ZIZKOV · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.46) > Away AVERAGE (1.15)

Win probability 1X2

Vlasim (H) 49.3%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -1.4%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -7.0%

Vikto Zizkov (A) 25.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -11.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vlasim face Vikto Zizkov in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vlasim a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Vikto Zizkov 25%, so Vlasim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Vlasim and 1.0 for Vikto Zizkov (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vlasim are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.15 for Vikto Zizkov. This match finished 3-1.

Vlasim vs Vikto Zizkov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - FNL Predictions