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Al Sharjah vs Al Ain Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Matchday 24 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 16:45

Al Sharjah

PPG 1.09 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLDW

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al Ain

PPG 2.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

Away 64% chance

Model probability 62.4% vs bookmaker-implied 64.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-18.5%0-29.9%0-37.7%0-4+7.8%1 1-03.6%1-18.3%1-29.7%1-37.6%1-4+7.7%2 2-01.7%2-14.1%2-24.8%2-33.7%2-4+3.8%3 3-00.6%3-11.3%3-21.6%3-31.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.1% 19.2% 5.20 -19.1%

Draw 24.5% 25.6% 3.90 -2.7%

Away win 62.4% 64.1% 1.56 -2.7%

Over 2.5 60.2% 59.9% 1.67 +0.5%

Over 3.5 42.4% 37.7% 2.65 +12.4%

BTTS 54.6% 59.9% 1.67 -8.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob54.6%

A 62% / xG 1.0-2.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 9.9%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 1–1 8.3%

#4 0–3 7.7%

#5 1–3 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Sharjah1.0

Al Ain2.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 42.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SHARJAH · PPG 1.09

AL AIN · PPG 2.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

64%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs Home AVERAGE (1.09)

Win probability 1X2

Al Sharjah (H) 13.1%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV -19.1%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -2.7%

Al Ain (A) 62.4%

ODDS 1.56 · IMPLIED 64.1% EV -2.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Sharjah face Al Ain in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Sharjah a 13% chance, the draw 25% and Al Ain 62%, so Al Ain are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Al Sharjah and 2.3 for Al Ain (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Sharjah are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 2.67 for Al Ain. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.4%. This match finished 0-5.

Al Sharjah vs Al Ain Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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