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Al Sharjah vs Al Ain Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League logo United-Arab-Emirates flag United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League Regular Season - 24 Sharjah Stadium· Sharjah Wednesday, May 6, 2026 16:45
Al Sharjah logo Al Sharjah PPG 1.09
0-5 MISS
Al Ain logo Al Ain PPG 2.67
Over3.5· +12.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Sharjah face Al Ain in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Sharjah a 13% chance, the draw 25% and Al Ain 62%, so Al Ain are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Al Sharjah and 2.3 for Al Ain (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Sharjah are averaging 1.09 points per game versus 2.67 for Al Ain. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.4%. This match finished 0-5.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.1%
Odds: 5.20 EV: -19.1%
Draw 24.5%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -2.7%
Away 62.4%
Odds: 1.56 EV: -2.7%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.67 +0.5%
Over 3.5 42.4% Odds: 2.65 +12.4%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.67 -8.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 1-2
3rd 1-1
4th 0-3
5th 1-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Sharjah
0.98
Al Ain
2.34

Model Suggestion

Away -2.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs Home AVERAGE (1.09)

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