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Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Jamaica - Premier League logo Jamaica flag Jamaica - Premier League Regular Season - 39 Draxhall Sports Complex· Runaway Bay Wednesday, May 6, 2026 20:30
Mount Pleasant logo Mount Pleasant PPG 2.15
2-1 HIT CS2
Montego Bay logo Montego Bay PPG 1.53
Home· +10.9% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Mount Pleasant face Montego Bay in Jamaica - Premier League on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mount Pleasant a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Montego Bay 25%, so Mount Pleasant are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Mount Pleasant and 1.0 for Montego Bay (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mount Pleasant are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 1.53 for Montego Bay. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.9%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.3%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +10.9%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -8.5%
Away 25.1%
Odds: 2.80 EV: -17.8%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.80 -4.4%
Over 3.5 30.1% Odds: 3.00 -9.7%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.62 -11.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Mount Pleasant
1.75
Montego Bay
1.02

Model Suggestion

BTTS -11.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.15) > Away GOOD (1.53)

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