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Al Wahda vs Al Wasl Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Matchday 24 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 14:05

Al Wahda

PPG 1.83 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLDL

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Wasl

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-17.8%0-23.8%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.4%1-112.1%1-25.9%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.6%2-19.4%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.0%3-14.8%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.7%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 38.8% 2.58 +27.2%

Draw 25.7% 31.3% 3.20 -10.7%

Away win 25.0% 39.2% 2.55 -21.8%

Over 2.5 46.5% 54.6% 1.83 -14.9%

Over 3.5 24.7% 32.3% 3.10 -14.1%

BTTS 52.3% 61.7% 1.62 -15.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.3%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 12.4%

#3 0–0 8.0%

#4 2–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Wahda1.6

Al Wasl1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 24.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL WAHDA · PPG 1.83

AL WASL · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

59%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.83) > Away AVERAGE (1.09)

Win probability 1X2

Al Wahda (H) 49.3%

ODDS 2.58 · IMPLIED 38.8% EV +27.2%

Draw 25.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -10.7%

Al Wasl (A) 25.0%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -21.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Wahda face Al Wasl in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Wahda a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Al Wasl 25%, so Al Wahda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al Wahda and 1.0 for Al Wasl (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Wahda are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.09 for Al Wasl. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +27.2%. This match finished 2-3.

Al Wahda vs Al Wasl Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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