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TransINVEST vs Suduva Prediction— Lithuania - A Lyga

Lithuania - A Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - A Lyga Regular Season - 12 FK TransINVEST stadium· Sirvintos Wednesday, May 6, 2026 17:00
TransINVEST logo TransINVEST PPG 1.60
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Suduva logo Suduva PPG 0.40
Home· +5.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

TransINVEST face Suduva in Lithuania - A Lyga on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TransINVEST a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Suduva 25%, so TransINVEST are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for TransINVEST and 0.8 for Suduva (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TransINVEST are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.40 for Suduva. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.7%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +5.1%
Draw 28.2%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -5.9%
Away 25.1%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -14.8%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.05 -6.1%
Over 3.5 16.9% Odds: 3.70 -22.5%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.80 -13.2%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

TransINVEST
1.31
Suduva
0.83

Model Suggestion

No Bet ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 44%
Score Hit 31%
ROI -56.0%
Bet Hit 20% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.60) vs P(Home)=46.7%

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