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FUS Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Matchday 19 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 16:00

FUS Rabat

PPG 1.75 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDL

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Ittihad Tanger

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-110.3%0-24.3%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.5%1-113.0%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.7%2-18.1%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.1%3-13.4%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% 55.6% 1.80 -19.5%

Draw 29.2% 29.9% 3.35 -1.3%

Away win 26.1% 25.0% 4.00 +2.6%

Over 2.5 45.8% 51.3% 1.95 -10.7%

Over 3.5 16.0% 29.0% 3.45 -26.9%

BTTS 48.2% 55.6% 1.80 -13.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 22.0%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.2%

H 45% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.0%

#2 0–0 12.3%

#3 1–0 15.5%

#4 2–0 9.7%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FUS Rabat1.3

Ittihad Tanger0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FUS RABAT · PPG 1.75

ITTIHAD TANGER · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

48%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

FUS Rabat (H) 44.7%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -19.5%

Draw 29.2%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -1.3%

Ittihad Tanger (A) 26.1%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +2.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

FUS Rabat face Ittihad Tanger in Morocco - Botola Pro on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FUS Rabat a 45% chance, the draw 29% and Ittihad Tanger 26%, so FUS Rabat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for FUS Rabat and 0.8 for Ittihad Tanger (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FUS Rabat are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Ittihad Tanger. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.6%. This match finished 1-1.

FUS Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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