Lyon W vs Montpellier W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

France - Feminine Division 1 Regular Season - 22 Parc Olympique Lyonnais· Lyon Wednesday, May 6, 2026 15:00

Lyon W PPG 3.00

3-1 MISS

Montpellier W PPG 0.50

Over3.5· +22.4% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Lyon W face Montpellier W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lyon W a 77% chance, the draw 16% and Montpellier W 7%, so Lyon W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.6 for Lyon W and 0.6 for Montpellier W (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lyon W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Montpellier W. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +22.4%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 77.3%

Odds: 1.25 EV: -3.4%

Draw 15.7%

Odds: 5.40 EV: -9.1%

Away 7.1%

Odds: 7.75 EV: -27.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 78.8% Odds: 1.20 -5.4%

Over 3.5 76.5% Odds: 1.60 +22.4%

BTTS 50.8% Odds: 1.50 -23.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 4-0 ✘

2nd 5-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 4-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lyon W

4.64

Montpellier W

0.58

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -5.4% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-5.4%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5/Under 44%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 61%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus