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Banik Ostrava B vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Czech-Republic - FNL logo Czech-Republic flag Czech-Republic - FNL Regular Season - 27 Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich· Ostrava Wednesday, May 6, 2026 15:00
Banik Ostrava B logo Banik Ostrava B PPG 1.83
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Zbrojovka Brno logo Zbrojovka Brno PPG 2.62
Over2.5· -4.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Banik Ostrava B face Zbrojovka Brno in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banik Ostrava B a 27% chance, the draw 27% and Zbrojovka Brno 46%, so Zbrojovka Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Banik Ostrava B and 1.8 for Zbrojovka Brno (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banik Ostrava B are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 2.62 for Zbrojovka Brno. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.8%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -5.3%
Draw 27.3%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -5.9%
Away 45.9%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -8.2%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.80 -4.4%
Over 3.5 31.7% Odds: 3.00 -4.9%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.65 -9.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Banik Ostrava B
1.08
Zbrojovka Brno
1.76

Model Suggestion

BTTS -9.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -9.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 55%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -12.0%
Bet Hit 50% (24 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.62) vs Home GOOD (1.83)

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