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Banik Ostrava B vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 27 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 15:00

Banik Ostrava B

PPG 1.83 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Zbrojovka Brno

PPG 2.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-110.3%0-29.0%0-35.3%0-4+3.4%1 1-06.3%1-111.1%1-29.8%1-35.7%1-4+3.7%2 2-03.4%2-16.0%2-25.3%2-33.1%2-4+2.0%3 3-01.2%3-12.2%3-21.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.8% 29.4% 3.40 -5.3%

Draw 27.3% 30.3% 3.30 -5.9%

Away win 45.9% 50.0% 2.00 -8.2%

Over 2.5 53.1% 55.6% 1.80 -4.4%

Over 3.5 31.7% 33.3% 3.00 -4.9%

BTTS 54.6% 60.6% 1.65 -9.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob54.6%

A 46% / xG 1.1-1.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.1%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 9.0%

#4 0–1 10.3%

#5 0–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Banik Ostrava B1.1

Zbrojovka Brno1.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BANIK OSTRAVA B · PPG 1.83

ZBROJOVKA BRNO · PPG 2.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.62) vs Home GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

Banik Ostrava B (H) 26.8%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -5.3%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.9%

Zbrojovka Brno (A) 45.9%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -8.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Banik Ostrava B face Zbrojovka Brno in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Banik Ostrava B a 27% chance, the draw 27% and Zbrojovka Brno 46%, so Zbrojovka Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Banik Ostrava B and 1.8 for Zbrojovka Brno (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Banik Ostrava B are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 2.62 for Zbrojovka Brno. This match finished 1-1.

Banik Ostrava B vs Zbrojovka Brno Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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