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Artis Brno vs Pribram Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 27 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 16:00

Artis Brno

PPG 1.69 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Pribram

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-19.0%0-24.6%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.6%1-112.7%1-26.4%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.8%2-18.9%2-24.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.1%3-14.2%3-22.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.0%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% 61.0% 1.64 -25.7%

Draw 28.2% 26.0% 3.85 +5.1%

Away win 26.5% 22.7% 4.40 +10.0%

Over 2.5 46.5% 58.8% 1.70 -20.9%

Over 3.5 22.5% 35.7% 2.80 -22.2%

BTTS 52.3% 58.8% 1.70 -11.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.3%

H 45% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 8.9%

#3 1–0 12.6%

#4 2–1 8.9%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Artis Brno1.4

Pribram1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ARTIS BRNO · PPG 1.69

PRIBRAM · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away AVERAGE (1.42)

Win probability 1X2

Artis Brno (H) 45.3%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -25.7%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +5.1%

Pribram (A) 26.5%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +10.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Artis Brno face Pribram in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Artis Brno a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Pribram 27%, so Artis Brno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Artis Brno and 1.0 for Pribram (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Artis Brno are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.42 for Pribram. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.0%. This match finished 0-2.

Artis Brno vs Pribram Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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