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Usti nad Labem vs Opava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Regular Season - 27 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 16:00

Usti nad Labem

PPG 1.85 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Opava

PPG 1.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-18.6%0-25.6%0-32.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.5%1-112.2%1-27.9%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.7%2-18.6%2-25.6%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.2%3-14.1%3-22.6%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.0%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.0% 42.6% 2.35 -10.7%

Draw 26.3% 29.4% 3.40 -6.3%

Away win 35.7% 38.2% 2.62 -6.5%

Over 2.5 53.0% 58.8% 1.70 -9.9%

Over 3.5 28.7% 36.4% 2.75 -12.6%

BTTS 54.6% 64.5% 1.55 -15.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 10.4%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

H 38% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1✓ 8.6%

#3 0–0 6.7%

#4 1–2 7.9%

#5 1–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Usti nad Labem1.4

Opava1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

USTI NAD LABEM · PPG 1.85

OPAVA · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away AVERAGE (1.15)

Win probability 1X2

Usti nad Labem (H) 38.0%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -10.7%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -6.3%

Opava (A) 35.7%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -6.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Usti nad Labem face Opava in Czech-Republic - FNL on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Usti nad Labem a 38% chance, the draw 26% and Opava 36%, so Usti nad Labem are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Usti nad Labem and 1.3 for Opava (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Usti nad Labem are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.15 for Opava. This match finished 2-1.

Usti nad Labem vs Opava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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