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Laval vs RED Star FC 93 Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Matchday 5 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 18:00

Laval

PPG 1.24 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDL ·

UPCOMING

RED Star FC 93

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDL ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-111.4%0-27.4%0-33.2%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.9%1-112.9%1-28.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.6%2-17.3%2-24.8%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.1%3-12.8%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.0% 34.7% 2.88 +3.7%

Draw 26.5% 31.3% 3.20 -9.1%

Away win 37.4% 40.8% 2.45 -8.4%

Over 2.5 50.6% 47.6% 2.10 +6.3%

Over 3.5 28.7% 26.7% 3.75 +4.6%

BTTS 52.9% 56.5% 1.77 -6.4%

Home O1.5 31.2% 36.4% 2.75 -14.2%

Away O1.5 40.8% 40.8% 2.45 -0.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 18%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.9%

A 37% / xG 1.1-1.3 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 1–0 9.9%

#3 0–1 11.4%

#4 0–0 8.7%

#5 2–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Laval1.1

RED Star FC 931.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LAVAL · PPG 1.24

RED STAR FC 93 · PPG 1.73

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.18, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Laval (H) 36.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +3.7%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -9.1%

RED Star FC 93 (A) 37.4%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -8.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Laval face RED Star FC 93 in France - Ligue 2 on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Laval a 36% chance, the draw 27% and RED Star FC 93 37%, so RED Star FC 93 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Laval and 1.3 for RED Star FC 93 (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Laval are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.73 for RED Star FC 93. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.3%.

Laval vs RED Star FC 93 Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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