Today / France - Ligue 2 / Laval vs Grenoble

Laval vs Grenoble Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 18:00

Laval

PPG 1.45 · HOME

LAST 5

LWDL ·

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Grenoble

PPG 0.76 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLW ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 46.5% — a clear edge.

+28.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-16.1%0-23.3%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.3%1-111.0%1-25.9%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.2%2-19.8%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.5%3-15.8%3-23.1%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.9%4+-22.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.7% 47.6% 2.10 +10.7%

Draw 23.5% 33.3% 3.00 -17.7%

Away win 23.8% 27.0% 3.70 -7.2%

Over 2.5 59.7% 46.5% 2.15 +28.3%

Over 3.5 36.7% 26.0% 3.85 +41.3%

BTTS 55.0% 54.6% 1.83 +0.7%

Home O1.5 48.9% 44.4% 2.25 +10.0%

Away O1.5 32.6% 30.3% 3.30 +7.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.0%

H 53% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.2%

#4 1–0 10.3%

#5 1–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Laval1.8

Grenoble1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

LAVAL · PPG 1.45

GRENOBLE · PPG 0.76

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.72 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Laval (H) 52.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +10.7%

Draw 23.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -17.7%

Grenoble (A) 23.8%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -7.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Laval face Grenoble in France - Ligue 2 on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Laval a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Grenoble 24%, so Laval are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Laval and 1.1 for Grenoble (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Laval are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 0.76 for Grenoble. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +41.3%. This match finished 0-3.

Laval vs Grenoble Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More France - Ligue 2 Predictions