Red Star vs Montpellier Prediction & Tips

France - Ligue 2 Regular Season - 34 Stade Bauer· Paris - Saint-Ouen Saturday, May 9, 2026 18:00

Red Star PPG 1.69

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Montpellier PPG 1.38

Away· -2.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Home 48.8%

Odds: 1.85 EV: -9.7%

Draw 26.4%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -6.1%

Away 24.8%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -2.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 1.73 -20.8%

Over 3.5 18.8% Odds: 2.75 -29.0%

BTTS 50.7% Odds: 1.73 -12.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Red Star

1.43

Montpellier

0.81

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 66%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -12.0%

Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.38)