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Laval vs Boulogne Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 18:00

Laval

PPG 0.69 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Boulogne

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.1%0-114.2%0-27.2%0-32.4%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.4%1-113.5%1-26.8%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.3%2-16.4%2-23.2%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.0%3-12.0%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% 61.7% 1.62 -43.8%

Draw 30.3% 26.7% 3.75 +13.6%

Away win 35.0% 19.0% 5.25 +83.8%

Over 2.5 35.5% 51.3% 1.95 -30.8%

Over 3.5 13.6% 29.0% 3.45 -31.9%

BTTS 48.2% 52.6% 1.90 -8.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 24.9%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.2%

D 30% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.1%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 0–1 14.2%

#4 1–0 13.4%

#5 0–2 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Laval0.9

Boulogne1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.5% · O3.5 PROB 13.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LAVAL · PPG 0.69

BOULOGNE · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.31) vs Home POOR (0.69)

Win probability 1X2

Laval (H) 34.7%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV -43.8%

Draw 30.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +13.6%

Boulogne (A) 35.0%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV +83.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Laval face Boulogne in France - Ligue 2 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Laval a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Boulogne 35%, so Boulogne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Laval and 1.0 for Boulogne (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Laval are averaging 0.69 points per game versus 1.31 for Boulogne. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +83.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Laval vs Boulogne Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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