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Grenoble vs Annecy Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Matchday 5 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 18:00

Grenoble

PPG 1.40 · HOME

LAST 5

LDLW ·

UPCOMING

Annecy

PPG 1.49 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLD ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-110.9%0-26.9%0-32.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.2%1-112.9%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.1%2-17.7%2-24.8%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.4%3-13.0%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 33.9% 2.95 +7.4%

Draw 26.8% 32.3% 3.10 -10.2%

Away win 36.8% 41.7% 2.40 -11.7%

Over 2.5 50.6% 47.6% 2.10 +6.3%

Over 3.5 28.7% 26.3% 3.80 +5.4%

BTTS 52.9% 56.5% 1.77 -6.4%

Home O1.5 33.0% 35.7% 2.80 -7.6%

Away O1.5 36.9% 41.7% 2.40 -11.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 18%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.9%

A 37% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 1–0 10.2%

#3 0–0 8.6%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Grenoble1.2

Annecy1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GRENOBLE · PPG 1.40

ANNECY · PPG 1.49

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.08, combined xG 2.45 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Grenoble (H) 36.4%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +7.4%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -10.2%

Annecy (A) 36.8%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -11.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Grenoble face Annecy in France - Ligue 2 on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grenoble a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Annecy 37%, so Annecy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Grenoble and 1.3 for Annecy (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grenoble are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.49 for Annecy. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +11.7%.

Grenoble vs Annecy Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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