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Boulogne vs RED Star FC 93 Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Matchday 3 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 18:00

Boulogne

PPG 1.08 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDD ·

1 – 1

FULL TIME

RED Star FC 93

PPG 1.85 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDL ·

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.3%0-117.4%0-29.3%0-33.3%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.2%1-113.0%1-26.9%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-04.5%2-14.8%2-22.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.1%3-11.2%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.8% 31.3% 3.20 -10.5%

Draw 35.2% 32.3% 3.10 +9.1%

Away win 39.0% 42.6% 2.35 -8.3%

Over 2.5 34.5% 46.5% 2.15 -25.8%

Over 3.5 18.2% 25.3% 3.95 -16.9%

BTTS 43.6% 54.6% 1.83 -20.2%

Home O1.5 30.6% 33.9% 2.95 -9.7%

Away O1.5 34.2% 41.7% 2.40 -17.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob43.6%

A 39% / xG 0.7-1.1 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.3%

#2 0–1 17.4%

#3 1–1✓ 13.0%

#4 1–0 12.2%

#5 0–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Boulogne0.7

RED Star FC 931.1

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BOULOGNE · PPG 1.08

RED STAR FC 93 · PPG 1.85

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.32, combined xG 1.81 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Boulogne (H) 25.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -10.5%

Draw 35.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +9.1%

RED Star FC 93 (A) 39.0%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -8.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Boulogne face RED Star FC 93 in France - Ligue 2 on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boulogne a 26% chance, the draw 35% and RED Star FC 93 39%, so RED Star FC 93 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Boulogne and 1.1 for RED Star FC 93 (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boulogne are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.85 for RED Star FC 93. This match finished 1-1.

Boulogne vs RED Star FC 93 Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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