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RED Star FC 93 vs Reims Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 12:00

RED Star FC 93

PPG 1.45 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDL ·

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Reims

PPG 1.37 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWW ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-110.9%0-26.2%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.5%1-113.1%1-27.5%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.9%2-18.0%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.8%3-13.2%3-21.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.3%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.7% 37.7% 2.65 -0.1%

Draw 27.1% 31.3% 3.20 -8.0%

Away win 35.2% 37.7% 2.65 -6.7%

Over 2.5 50.5% 50.0% 2.00 +1.0%

Over 3.5 28.7% 28.2% 3.55 +1.1%

BTTS 52.7% 57.8% 1.73 -8.8%

Home O1.5 32.5% 40.0% 2.50 -18.8%

Away O1.5 33.0% 40.0% 2.50 -17.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.7%

H 38% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 1–0 11.5%

#3 0–0 9.5%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

RED Star FC 931.2

Reims1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RED STAR FC 93 · PPG 1.45

REIMS · PPG 1.37

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.06, combined xG 2.36 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

RED Star FC 93 (H) 37.7%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -0.1%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.0%

Reims (A) 35.2%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -6.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

RED Star FC 93 face Reims in France - Ligue 2 on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RED Star FC 93 a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Reims 35%, so RED Star FC 93 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for RED Star FC 93 and 1.1 for Reims (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RED Star FC 93 are averaging 1.45 points per game versus 1.37 for Reims. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +2.9%. This match finished 1-4.

RED Star FC 93 vs Reims Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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