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Reims vs Annecy Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 18:45

Reims

PPG 1.62 · HOME

LAST 5

DDWW ·

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Annecy

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLD ·

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.5% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-110.7%0-26.5%0-32.7%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.6%1-113.0%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.4%2-17.9%2-24.8%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.6%3-13.2%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% 51.3% 1.95 -29.4%

Draw 27.6% 27.8% 3.60 -0.4%

Away win 36.2% 29.4% 3.40 +23.1%

Over 2.5 50.5% 51.3% 1.95 -1.5%

Over 3.5 28.7% 29.4% 3.40 -1.5%

BTTS 52.5% 57.1% 1.75 -8.1%

Home O1.5 32.7% 52.4% 1.91 -37.5%

Away O1.5 36.6% 29.4% 3.40 +24.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 18%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.5%

H 36% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.8%

#3 1–0 10.6%

#4 0–1 10.7%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Reims1.2

Annecy1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

REIMS · PPG 1.62

ANNECY · PPG 1.73

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.01, combined xG 2.44 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Reims (H) 36.2%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -29.4%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -0.4%

Annecy (A) 36.2%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +23.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Reims face Annecy in France - Ligue 2 on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Reims a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Annecy 36%, so Reims are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Reims and 1.2 for Annecy (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Reims are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.73 for Annecy. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +24.4%. This match finished 3-1.

Reims vs Annecy Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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