Campionato

SAN MARINO · 14 MATCHES TRACKED · 18 APR 2026 – 26 APR 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 14 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

71.4%

1X2

10/14

71.4%

O/U 2.5

10/14

50.0%

BTTS

7/14

57.1%

Exact score

8/14

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

100.0%

Hit rate

3/3

1.22

Avg odds

+21.7%

ROI

+0.7u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

AWAY WIN · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.27 · +27.0% ROI

HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.11 · +11.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Solid

Bets

100%

Hit

+11.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

100%

Hit

+27.0%

ROI

Match log

14 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

April 2026 // 11 PICKS · 10 HIT · 1 MISS

26 APR Cosmos vs Faetano Home 2–0 HIT 26 APR Tre Penne vs San Giovanni Home 4–0 HIT 26 APR Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa Home 1–1 MISS 26 APR Libertas vs Virtus Away 0–9 HIT 26 APR Juvenes/D. vs Murata Home -34% 5–2 HIT 25 APR Fiorentino vs La Fiorita Away -4% 1–2 HIT 25 APR Domagnano vs Folgore BTTS 3–7 HIT 25 APR SM Academy vs Cailungo — NO PICK 1–1 —19 APR Libertas vs Tre Penne Away 1–3 HIT 19 APR Folgore vs SM Academy Home 3–0 HIT 19 APR Faetano vs Tre Fiori Away -0% 0–1 HIT 19 APR Cailungo vs Virtus Away 1–6 HIT 19 APR La Fiorita vs Cosmos — NO PICK 3–1 —18 APR Pennarossa vs Juvenes/D. — NO PICK 0–0 —