Fiorentino vs La Fiorita Prediction— San-Marino - Campionato

San-Marino - Campionato Regular Season - 30 Stadio di Fiorentino· Fiorentino Saturday, April 25, 2026 13:00

Fiorentino PPG 1.21

1-2 HIT CS4

La Fiorita PPG 2.07

Away· -4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Fiorentino face La Fiorita in San-Marino - Campionato on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fiorentino a 13% chance, the draw 21% and La Fiorita 67%, so La Fiorita are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Fiorentino and 2.0 for La Fiorita (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fiorentino are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 2.07 for La Fiorita. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 12.7%

Odds: 5.50 EV: -30.1%

Draw 20.5%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -13.9%

Away 66.7%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -4.0%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.9% Odds: 1.70 -15.2%

Over 3.5 27.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 43.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✔

5th 0-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Fiorentino

0.71

La Fiorita

1.96

Model SuggestionAway -4.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -4.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 57%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs Home AVERAGE (1.21)