Tre Fiori vs Pennarossa Prediction— San-Marino - Campionato

San-Marino - Campionato Regular Season - 30 Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Tre Fiori PPG 2.62

1-1 MISS

Pennarossa PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tre Fiori face Pennarossa in San-Marino - Campionato on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tre Fiori a 73% chance, the draw 20% and Pennarossa 7%, so Tre Fiori are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Tre Fiori and 0.3 for Pennarossa (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tre Fiori are averaging 2.62 points per game versus 1.07 for Pennarossa. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 73.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 20.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 6.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 40.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 39.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 4-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 5-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Tre Fiori

2.93

Pennarossa

0.29

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.62), Away AVERAGE (1.07) - Strong consensus