Libertas vs Tre Penne Prediction— San-Marino - Campionato

San-Marino - Campionato Regular Season - 29 Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Libertas PPG 1.54

1-3 HIT CS5

Tre Penne PPG 2.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Libertas face Tre Penne in San-Marino - Campionato on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Libertas a 4% chance, the draw 10% and Tre Penne 86%, so Tre Penne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Libertas and 3.0 for Tre Penne (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Libertas are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 2.29 for Tre Penne. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 4.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 9.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 85.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 47.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 40.3% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-3 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 0-4 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 1-3 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Libertas

0.55

Tre Penne

3.01

Model SuggestionAway  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 57%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.29) vs Home GOOD (1.54)