Domagnano vs Folgore Prediction— San-Marino - Campionato

San-Marino - Campionato Regular Season - 30 Stadio di Domagnano Saturday, April 25, 2026 13:00

Domagnano PPG 1.71

3-7 MISS

Folgore PPG 1.79

Home· +10.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Domagnano face Folgore in San-Marino - Campionato on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Domagnano a 42% chance, the draw 25% and Folgore 33%, so Domagnano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Domagnano and 1.3 for Folgore (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Domagnano are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.79 for Folgore. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.2%. This match finished 3-7.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.4%

Odds: 2.60 EV: +10.2%

Draw 24.6%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -16.4%

Away 33.0%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -24.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.5% Odds: 1.75 -2.9%

Over 3.5 33.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.4% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Domagnano

1.56

Folgore

1.34

Model SuggestionBTTS  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 57%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away GOOD (1.79)