Libertas vs Virtus Prediction— San-Marino - Campionato

San-Marino - Campionato Regular Season - 30 Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Libertas PPG 1.43

0-9 MISS

Virtus PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Libertas face Virtus in San-Marino - Campionato on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Libertas a 5% chance, the draw 24% and Virtus 72%, so Virtus are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Libertas and 3.0 for Virtus (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Libertas are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 2.00 for Virtus. This match finished 0-9.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 4.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 23.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 71.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 47.3% Odds: — —

BTTS 49.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 0-3 ✘

3rd 0-4 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Libertas

0.56

Virtus

2.98

Model SuggestionAway  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.43)