Tre Penne vs San Giovanni Prediction— San-Marino - Campionato

San-Marino - Campionato Regular Season - 30 Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Tre Penne PPG 2.29

4-0 HIT CS4

San Giovanni PPG 0.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tre Penne face San Giovanni in San-Marino - Campionato on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tre Penne a 71% chance, the draw 22% and San Giovanni 7%, so Tre Penne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Tre Penne and 0.3 for San Giovanni (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tre Penne are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 0.79 for San Giovanni. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 70.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 22.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 7.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.9% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 27.5% Odds: — —

BTTS 39.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 4-0 ✔

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Tre Penne

2.32

San Giovanni

0.33

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.29), Away POOR (0.79) - Strong consensus