Leagues / IRELAND / First Division
First Division
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
Upcoming First Division predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT18:45 Treaty United vs Wexford BTTS 53% 1.62 -14%4 SEPT18:45 Bray Wanderers vs Cork City Over 2.5 64% 1.50 -4%4 SEPT18:45 Cobh Ramblers vs UCD BTTS 58% 1.53 -12%4 SEPT18:45 Finn Harps vs Athlone Town BTTS 53% 1.70 -10%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 84 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
58.3%
1X2
49/84
54.8%
O/U 2.5
46/84
45.2%
BTTS
38/84
40.5%
Exact score
34/84
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
20
Settled
60.0%
Hit rate
12/20
1.93
Avg odds
+10.6%
ROI
+2.1u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=13 53.8% HIT · AVG 2.04 · +7.3% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=4 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.68 · +25.5% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.57 · +57.5% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.28 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
33%
Hit
-16.7%
ROI
✓ Solid
8
Bets
50%
Hit
-28.4%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
8
Bets
88%
Hit
+73.6%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 13 PICKS · 12 HIT · 1 MISS
28 AUG Cork City vs Wexford Home +4% 2–0 HIT28 AUG Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers BTTS -13% 2–1 HIT28 AUG Cobh Ramblers vs Longford Town BTTS -11% 2–2 HIT28 AUG Kerry vs Treaty United Home +9% 3–1 HIT28 AUG UCD vs Finn Harps HO1.5 5–4 HIT22 AUG Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers BTTS -16% 4–2 HIT21 AUG Wexford vs Athlone Town Home +13% 0–2 MISS21 AUG Treaty United vs Cork City BTTS -7% 2–2 HIT21 AUG Kerry vs UCD BTTS -12% 1–1 HIT21 AUG Finn Harps vs Cobh Ramblers BTTS -19% 1–3 HIT7 AUG Cobh Ramblers vs Treaty United — NO PICK 2–0 —7 AUG UCD vs Wexford HO1.5 4–1 HIT7 AUG Cork City vs Kerry Over 2.5 +3% 3–1 HIT7 AUG Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps HO1.5 5–0 HIT7 AUG Athlone Town vs Longford Town — NO PICK 2–1 —