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Cobh Ramblers vs Treaty United Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Matchday 27 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 18:45

Cobh Ramblers

PPG 1.46 · HOME

UPCOMING

Treaty United

PPG 0.85 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-17.7%0-23.0%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.0%1-111.8%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.6%2-19.1%2-23.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.9%3-14.7%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-12.5%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 47.2% 2.12 +4.5%

Draw 27.0% 28.6% 3.50 -3.3%

Away win 23.7% 31.3% 3.20 -14.5%

Over 2.5 45.9% 55.6% 1.80 -17.4%

Over 3.5 27.1% 33.3% 3.00 -11.2%

BTTS 48.4% 61.7% 1.62 -21.6%

Home O1.5 45.4% 50.0% 2.00 -9.2%

Away O1.5 19.3% 38.5% 2.60 -29.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 69 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -0.1%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.4%

H 49% / xG 1.5-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–0 15.0%

#3 0–0 9.8%

#4 2–0 11.6%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cobh Ramblers1.5

Treaty United0.8

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 27.1%

Form & verdict PPG

COBH RAMBLERS · PPG 1.46

TREATY UNITED · PPG 0.85

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.75 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Cobh Ramblers (H) 49.3%

ODDS 2.12 · IMPLIED 47.2% EV +4.5%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -3.3%

Treaty United (A) 23.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -14.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cobh Ramblers face Treaty United in Ireland - First Division on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cobh Ramblers a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Treaty United 24%, so Cobh Ramblers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Cobh Ramblers and 0.8 for Treaty United (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cobh Ramblers are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 0.85 for Treaty United.

Cobh Ramblers vs Treaty United Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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