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Cobh Ramblers vs UCD Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Matchday 30 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 18:45

Cobh Ramblers

PPG 1.53 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWD

UPCOMING

UCD

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWDW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 57.8% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-18.2%0-24.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.6%1-112.2%1-27.0%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.9%2-19.1%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.9%3-14.5%3-22.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.4%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 33.3% 3.00 +36.2%

Draw 24.5% 27.8% 3.60 -7.1%

Away win 30.1% 46.3% 2.16 -35.0%

Over 2.5 54.3% 59.9% 1.67 -9.3%

Over 3.5 36.1% 37.7% 2.65 -4.3%

BTTS 57.8% 65.4% 1.53 -11.6%

Home O1.5 39.9% 42.6% 2.35 -6.2%

Away O1.5 33.2% 52.4% 1.91 -36.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 84 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 10.6%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob57.8%

H 45% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–0 10.6%

#4 2–0 7.9%

#5 1–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cobh Ramblers1.5

UCD1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.3% · O3.5 PROB 36.1%

Form & verdict PPG

COBH RAMBLERS · PPG 1.53

UCD · PPG 1.14

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.34 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cobh Ramblers (H) 45.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +36.2%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.1%

UCD (A) 30.1%

ODDS 2.16 · IMPLIED 46.3% EV -35.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cobh Ramblers face UCD in Ireland - First Division on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cobh Ramblers a 45% chance, the draw 25% and UCD 30%, so Cobh Ramblers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Cobh Ramblers and 1.2 for UCD (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cobh Ramblers are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.14 for UCD. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +25.9%.

Cobh Ramblers vs UCD Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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