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Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Matchday 4 ·Friday, August 28, 2026, 18:00

Al Khaleej Saihat

PPG 1.24 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDL ·

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

PPG 2.24 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWWW ·

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-110.7%0-29.8%0-36.0%0-4+4.2%1 1-05.9%1-110.8%1-29.9%1-36.0%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.0%2-15.4%2-25.0%2-33.0%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.0%3-11.8%3-21.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.7% 9.3% 10.80 +87.1%

Draw 22.8% 17.2% 5.80 +19.3%

Away win 54.6% 80.0% 1.25 -31.8%

Over 2.5 53.5% 69.4% 1.44 -23.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 47.6% 2.10 -33.9%

BTTS 52.7% 54.6% 1.83 -3.6%

Home O1.5 30.9% 22.2% 4.50 +39.1%

Away O1.5 54.6% 80.0% 1.25 -31.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -30.3%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob52.7%

A 55% / xG 1.0-1.8 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.8%

#4 0–1 10.7%

#5 0–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Khaleej Saihat1.0

Al-Hilal Saudi FC1.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AL KHALEEJ SAIHAT · PPG 1.24

AL-HILAL SAUDI FC · PPG 2.24

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.83 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Khaleej Saihat (H) 22.7%

ODDS 10.80 · IMPLIED 9.3% EV +87.1%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 5.80 · IMPLIED 17.2% EV +19.3%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC (A) 54.6%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -31.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Khaleej Saihat face Al-Hilal Saudi FC in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Friday, August 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Khaleej Saihat a 23% chance, the draw 23% and Al-Hilal Saudi FC 55%, so Al-Hilal Saudi FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Al Khaleej Saihat and 1.8 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Khaleej Saihat are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 2.24 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +77.7%. This match finished 1-5.

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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