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Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 24, 2026, 18:00

Al-Ittihad FC

PPG 1.59 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWD ·

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Al-Hazm

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLD ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.4 puts the goal expectation near the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-18.4%0-24.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.0%1-112.4%1-25.9%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.6%2-19.2%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.7%3-14.5%3-22.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% — — —

Draw 27.8% — — —

Away win 24.8% — — —

Over 2.5 45.1% — — —

Over 3.5 28.5% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 40.1% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 75 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -19.3%

Bet Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 13.0%

#3 0–0 8.8%

#4 2–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al-Ittihad FC1.5

Al-Hazm1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.5%

Form & verdict PPG

AL-ITTIHAD FC · PPG 1.59

AL-HAZM · PPG 1.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Al-Ittihad FC (H) 47.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al-Hazm (A) 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al-Ittihad FC face Al-Hazm in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al-Ittihad FC a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Al-Hazm 25%, so Al-Ittihad FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al-Ittihad FC and 1.0 for Al-Hazm (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al-Ittihad FC are averaging 1.59 points per game versus 1.45 for Al-Hazm. This match finished 3-2.

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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