Leagues / NORWAY / Eliteserien
Eliteserien
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
Upcoming Eliteserien predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT17:00 Aalesund vs Start HO1.5 — — —4 SEPT17:00 Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt BTTS 56% 1.62 -9%4 SEPT19:00 Sandefjord vs Viking — NO PICK — — —// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 90 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
50.0%
1X2
45/90
62.2%
O/U 2.5
56/90
52.2%
BTTS
47/90
41.1%
Exact score
37/90
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
20
Settled
65.0%
Hit rate
13/20
1.71
Avg odds
+6.2%
ROI
+1.2u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=9 88.9% HIT · AVG 1.60 · +42.6% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=4 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.56 · +17.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 33.3% HIT · AVG 2.08 · -36.7% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=3 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.85 · -100.0% ROI
BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.83 · +83.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
4
Bets
50%
Hit
-15.5%
ROI
✓ Solid
5
Bets
100%
Hit
+53.8%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
8
Bets
75%
Hit
+27.1%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
3
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 11 HIT · 4 MISS
30 AUG Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg Home -1% 4–2 HIT30 AUG Valerenga vs Molde Over 2.5 -8% 3–4 HIT30 AUG Sandefjord vs Brann BTTS -21% 0–0 MISS30 AUG Start vs KFUM Oslo BTTS -17% 4–1 HIT30 AUG Ham-Kam vs Kristiansund BK HO1.5 2–2 HIT30 AUG Viking vs Aalesund Over 2.5 +3% 2–1 HIT30 AUG Tromso vs Sarpsborg 08 FF HO1.5 0–0 MISS30 AUG Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad HO1.5 1–4 MISS16 AUG Aalesund vs Valerenga Over 2.5 -6% 5–5 HIT16 AUG Brann vs Ham-Kam Over 2.5 -0% 3–0 HIT16 AUG Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Sandefjord Home -9% 1–2 MISS16 AUG Molde vs Tromso Over 2.5 +7% 3–2 HIT16 AUG Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund BK Home +1% 1–0 HIT15 AUG KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom BTTS -21% 1–1 HIT14 AUG Rosenborg vs Viking BTTS -14% 2–1 HIT