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Sandefjord vs Viking Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Matchday 20 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 19:00

Sandefjord

PPG 1.11 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWD

UPCOMING

Viking

PPG 1.90 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWLW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-116.3%0-210.8%0-34.8%0-4+2.1%1 1-09.4%1-112.5%1-28.3%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-03.6%2-14.8%2-23.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-00.9%3-11.2%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.3% 22.7% 4.40 +4.2%

Draw 28.4% 23.8% 4.20 +11.6%

Away win 47.3% 60.6% 1.65 -22.0%

Over 2.5 43.2% 67.6% 1.48 -36.1%

Over 3.5 22.3% 46.5% 2.15 -31.2%

BTTS 48.0% 67.6% 1.48 -29.0%

Home O1.5 30.8% 38.5% 2.60 -19.9%

Away O1.5 42.2% 66.7% 1.50 -36.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 90 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 6.2%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.0%

A 47% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.3%

#2 1–1 12.5%

#3 0–0 12.3%

#4 0–2 10.8%

#5 1–0 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandefjord0.8

Viking1.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDEFJORD · PPG 1.11

VIKING · PPG 1.90

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.56 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Sandefjord (H) 24.3%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +4.2%

Draw 28.4%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +11.6%

Viking (A) 47.3%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -22.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandefjord face Viking in Norway - Eliteserien on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandefjord a 24% chance, the draw 28% and Viking 47%, so Viking are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Sandefjord and 1.3 for Viking (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandefjord are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 1.90 for Viking.

Sandefjord vs Viking Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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