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Sandefjord vs Brann Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Sandefjord

PPG 1.12 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Brann

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.0% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-19.9%0-27.4%0-33.7%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.1%1-112.1%1-29.0%1-34.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.9%2-17.4%2-25.5%2-32.7%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.0%3-13.0%3-22.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.4% 33.9% 2.95 -7.4%

Draw 24.3% 27.0% 3.70 -6.0%

Away win 44.4% 46.5% 2.15 -4.5%

Over 2.5 53.5% 65.4% 1.53 -18.1%

Over 3.5 31.5% 42.6% 2.35 -26.0%

BTTS 55.0% 69.4% 1.44 -20.8%

Home O1.5 33.4% 46.5% 2.15 -28.2%

Away O1.5 41.1% 56.5% 1.77 -27.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 90 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 6.2%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob55.0%

A 44% / xG 1.2-1.5 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 0–1 9.9%

#4 2–1 7.4%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandefjord1.2

Brann1.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDEFJORD · PPG 1.12

BRANN · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.27 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sandefjord (H) 31.4%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -7.4%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -6.0%

Brann (A) 44.4%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -4.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandefjord face Brann in Norway - Eliteserien on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandefjord a 31% chance, the draw 24% and Brann 44%, so Brann are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sandefjord and 1.5 for Brann (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandefjord are averaging 1.12 points per game versus 1.25 for Brann. This match finished 0-0.

Sandefjord vs Brann Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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