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Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 12:30

Bodo/Glimt

PPG 2.62 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Rosenborg

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 73.6% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-12.4%0-20.7%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.8%1-16.3%1-21.8%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.0%2-18.1%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.2%3-17.1%3-22.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-014.8%4+-18.6%4+-22.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.6% 74.1% 1.35 -0.6%

Draw 16.9% 18.5% 5.40 -5.2%

Away win 9.5% 14.3% 7.00 -20.1%

Over 2.5 62.0% 75.2% 1.33 -17.5%

Over 3.5 39.3% 54.1% 1.85 -27.3%

BTTS 49.2% 66.7% 1.50 -26.2%

Home O1.5 65.8% 80.0% 1.25 -17.8%

Away O1.5 16.0% 33.3% 3.00 -31.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 90 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 6.2%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.2%

H 74% / xG 2.6-0.6 / O2.5 62% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.0%

#2 3–0 12.2%

#3 1–0 10.8%

#4 1–1 6.3%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bodo/Glimt2.6

Rosenborg0.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BODO/GLIMT · PPG 2.62

ROSENBORG · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.02 for Home, form 2.62 vs 0.88 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bodo/Glimt (H) 73.6%

ODDS 1.35 · IMPLIED 74.1% EV -0.6%

Draw 16.9%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV -5.2%

Rosenborg (A) 9.5%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV -20.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bodo/Glimt face Rosenborg in Norway - Eliteserien on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bodo/Glimt a 74% chance, the draw 17% and Rosenborg 10%, so Bodo/Glimt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Bodo/Glimt and 0.6 for Rosenborg (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bodo/Glimt are averaging 2.62 points per game versus 0.88 for Rosenborg. This match finished 4-2.

Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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