Today / Norway - Eliteserien / Start vs KFUM Oslo

Start vs KFUM Oslo Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Start

PPG 0.75 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLW

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

KFUM Oslo

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-19.3%0-26.1%0-32.7%0-4+1.2%1 1-09.5%1-112.4%1-28.1%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.3%2-18.3%2-25.4%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.8%3-13.7%3-22.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% 44.4% 2.25 -19.2%

Draw 26.6% 27.8% 3.60 -2.5%

Away win 37.5% 34.5% 2.90 +8.8%

Over 2.5 51.2% 59.9% 1.67 -14.5%

Over 3.5 30.7% 37.0% 2.70 -17.1%

BTTS 54.3% 65.4% 1.53 -16.9%

Home O1.5 37.5% 51.3% 1.95 -26.9%

Away O1.5 39.3% 43.5% 2.30 -9.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 90 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 6.2%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.3%

A 38% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–2 8.1%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 0–1 9.3%

#5 0–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Start1.3

KFUM Oslo1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.2% · O3.5 PROB 30.7%

Form & verdict PPG

START · PPG 0.75

KFUM OSLO · PPG 0.71

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Start (H) 35.9%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -19.2%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -2.5%

KFUM Oslo (A) 37.5%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +8.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Start face KFUM Oslo in Norway - Eliteserien on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Start a 36% chance, the draw 27% and KFUM Oslo 38%, so KFUM Oslo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Start and 1.3 for KFUM Oslo (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Start are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.71 for KFUM Oslo. This match finished 4-1.

Start vs KFUM Oslo Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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