Primera C

ARGENTINA · 109 MATCHES TRACKED · 21 JUL 2026 – 6 SEPT 2026

▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE

SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE

Upcoming Primera C predictions

7 FIXTURES WITH ODDS · MODEL PICK, PROBABILITY AND EV PER MATCH

DateMatchPickProbOddsEV

5 SEPT18:00 Victoriano Arenas vs Argentino Rosario — NO PICK — — —5 SEPT18:00 Central Cordoba vs El Porvenir — NO PICK — — —5 SEPT18:00 Centro Español vs Sacachispas — NO PICK — — —6 SEPT14:00 Berazategui vs Estrella Del Sur — NO PICK — — —6 SEPT18:00 Puerto Nuevo vs Lugano — NO PICK — — —6 SEPT18:00 Atletico Atlas vs General Lamadrid — NO PICK — — —6 SEPT18:00 Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro N. Alem — NO PICK — — —

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 91 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

41.8%

1X2

38/91

67.0%

O/U 2.5

61/91

59.3%

BTTS

54/91

60.4%

Exact score

55/91

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

14.3%

Hit rate

2/14

2.15

Avg odds

-66.8%

ROI

-9.3u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

BTTS · N=10 10.0% HIT · AVG 2.13 · -78.5% ROI

HOME WIN · N=4 25.0% HIT · AVG 2.19 · -37.5% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Solid

Bets

33%

Hit

-16.7%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

Hit

-80.5%

ROI

Match log

91 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

September 2026 // 0 PICKS · 0 HIT · 0 MISS

4 SEPT Yupanqui vs Leones de Rosario — NO PICK 0–1 —4 SEPT Mercedes vs Defensores de Cambaceres — NO PICK 0–3 —

August 2026 // 4 PICKS · 2 HIT · 2 MISS

31 AUG Lugano vs Berazategui — NO PICK 1–1 —31 AUG Sportivo Barracas vs Deportivo Español — NO PICK 0–1 —31 AUG General Lamadrid vs Canuelas — NO PICK 0–2 —31 AUG Fénix vs Central Cordoba — NO PICK 0–1 —31 AUG Leones de Rosario vs Atletico Atlas — NO PICK 1–0 —31 AUG Sacachispas vs JJ Urquiza Home 2–1 HIT 30 AUG Central Ballester vs Yupanqui BTTS +3% 2–0 MISS 30 AUG Argentino Rosario vs Centro Español — NO PICK 1–1 —30 AUG Leandro N. Alem vs Puerto Nuevo BTTS +3% 0–3 MISS 30 AUG Juventud Unida vs Mercedes — NO PICK 4–1 —30 AUG Estrella Del Sur vs Victoriano Arenas — NO PICK 1–1 —29 AUG Lujan vs Deportivo Muñiz Home 4–0 HIT 29 AUG El Porvenir vs Claypole — NO PICK 4–2 —